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Inflation is skyrocketing in Argentina and the country seems unable to ever maintaining any form of nominal stability. In my view the problem with lack of nominal stability in Argentina is, however, not fundamentally monetary - it is rather a constitutional problem. Hence, it seems like the country's politicians are able to make the decisions that are necessary to maintain monetary stability.
Adam Tooze is one of my favorite historians and I have often written about his fantastic book Wages of Destruction. It is an amazing book about the Nazi time German economy, which I strongly recommend to anybody who cares about listening to me.
Remember when then Bank of Japan last year initiated its unprecedented program of monetary easing most commentators saw that as an attempt to wage currency war to boost Japanese exports? I instead stressed that the "export channel" was not likely to be what would drag Japan out of the deflationary trap. Rather I stressed the importance of domestic demand.
Argentina is an economic basket case. It is that simple. The country never seems to be able to emerge from its problems. The key reason is that the country is extremely weak constitutionally and institutionally and as a result the country has some of the worst policy makers in Latin America (if not in the world).
During Christmas and New Years I have been able to (nearly) not think about monetary policy and economics, but I nonetheless came across some comments from Bundesbank chief Jens Weidmann from last week, which made me think about the connection between monetary policy rules and fiscal austerity in the euro zone. I will try address these issues in this post.
As year is coming to an end I am sure that a lot of you like myself are reflecting on life and the world you live in. Here is a bit of what I have been thinking about this year and about what I think will be my focus in my blogging in the coming year.
My recent post on the suggestion for a Basic Income Guarantee (BIG) made me think of an idea I have been toying with for some time on how to privatize natural resources. Specifically I came to think of a suggestion for privatization of the Venezuelan energy sector, which I made some time ago in connection with my post on "A modest proposal for post-Chavez monetary reform in Venezuela".
Imagine that US non-farm payrolls were growing by 400k/month (that is how strong the UK labour market is)
My Danske Bank colleague Anders Vestergård Fischer had a fun idea today - he wanted to "translate" the latest UK labour market numbers into something an US audience could understand.