ALL BLOG POSTS
I have long argued that central banks should utilise prediction markets for macroeconomic forecasting and for the implementation of monetary policy.
If I were to write a blog post on Syria I would write about the law of unintended consequences, but I am not going to do that. Instead have a look at this paper from the Danish Centre for Military Studies on "Syria's Military Capabilities and Options for Military Intervention".
I have often disagreed with the views of University of Chicago Professor John Cochrane over the paste five years. However, his latest oped in the Wall Street Journal is spot on.
I have for some time had the idea that Federal Reserve thinking in the second half of the 1980s and the early part of the 1990s was dominated by a view that in many ways resembles Market Monetarist thinking. Here especially Wayne Angell and Manuel "Manley" Johnson played an important role. Johnson was on the Fed's Board of Governors from 1986 to 1990, while Angell served on the Board of Governors from 1986 until 1994. Both had been appointed by President Reagan. You can think of them as the original Supply Side Monetarists.
Central banks from India to Turkey and Brazil these days seem to completely have lost track of their objectives - jumping from one objective (inflation targeting) to another (exchange rate targeting) and back. Confusion rules.
I have co-authored a paper on Yellen versus Summers with my Danske Bank colleagues Signe Roed-Frederiksen, Kristoffer Kjær Lomholt and Mikael Olai Milhøj. This is the abstract:
I have in a number of blog posts argued that China is a global or at least an Asian monetary superpower, which is exporting monetary tightening across Asia.
It is hard to keep track of the direction of monetary policy in India. This is from Bloomberg this morning:
This is from Bloomberg this morning:
I just found a great paper - "A Coasean Approach to Bank Resolution Policy in the Eurozone" - on banking resolution by Gregory Connor and Brian O’Kelly. Here is the abstract: